Wish all of you have the blessings and mercy of almighty god. I have not been blogging for a long time... But thanks to Sudheesh, my good old friend, I am back again. This post is in reply to his blog entry: The future of BJP. Well written buddy! Thanks for the post.
Disclaimer: The following is a very quickly written blog, written as it flowed to my mind, and hence apologies for any formatting or other errors!~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Hi Sudheesh, read your blog... I agree with your views regarding Hindutva and how it has not worked for BJP, and why you don't like BJP for its pro-Hindutva stands, And how Narendra Modi and Varun Gandhi Factors helped the Congress. However; At the risk of being labelled pro-Congress or anti-BJP, let me put across my views while trying to be as unbiased and objective as possible! Being a humble follower of Indian politics, I do not agree with many of your views.... Or I feel you have missed on many real issues.
Answering your post, I would like to comment on three important points:
1.) Why I feel Congress is a much better party in terms of structure/Discipline etc2.) Answering the allegation of Congress being Family Run 3.) The reasons for BJP's defeat in 2004 and 2009.Firstly, I would like to humbly disagree with your statement: "BJP is a much better party in structure and functioning than Congress." I think it will be unrealistic to believe this with the kind of infighting going on in the BJP now, and in the last many years (eg: uma bharati, and many many others)? I will elaborate a little further.
Congress is a much better party in terms of Structure, Discipline, Policies, Talent (Undoubtedly!), Succession Planning etc. You feel that Gandhi Family is the problem of Congress. In contrast, I feel it is the advantage of Congress. They have a clear leadership. No one dares to fight or think about getting the top job. Everyone accepts it. Because of that, so much of energy, time and resources are spent on actually doing things, than at the petty political matters and mad rush to be on top (Just contrast this to the BJP, its very easy to understand). Even when Advani was the Opposition Leader, there was a lot of fighting for the top job (eg: Rajnath Singh). Also, there is a lot of infighting and interest groups among the second rung leaders after this humiliatinjg Poll debacle (like Sushma Swaraj, Arun Jaitley, Murali Manohar Joshi, Yashwant Sinha). Again, in this succession race, Congress is much better placed. They have already projected Rahul Gandhi as the next heir to the post (whether that is democratic or not, I do I care? I don't think do the poor people of India, as long as he is good and does good), and everyone in the Congress has accepted it that way.
I do not expect any infighting in Congress when it comes to who is next? Even the second generation leaders are well managed and groomed by the Congress, whether it is Jyotiradhitya Sindhia, Sachin Pilot, Jitin Prasada, Milind Deora, Priya Dutt or others. They have been given due importance, and they in turn acknowledge the fact that Rahul Gandhi is going to be the next PM. And again, I would rather believe, all these are not things that just happened accidentally; I strongly believe, these are strategies carefully planned and executed by the Congress (Every statement by leaders in the Congress party is, I believe, well planned & controlled. Eg: Statements from Congress about Rahul being the next PM, or the party men clamouring for him to take more responsibilities etc). Rahul Gandhi’s power and influence has been steadily increasing inside the congress, with his involvement in Youth Congress and the recent UP election victory. To such an extent that people have started telling that he DESERVES to get more posts. I doubt whether even the BJP can make it an issue when he is projected in a higher post sometime soon. Also, Rahul Gandhi has started the process of Internal Elections in Youth Congress, an achievement considering the complexity and magnitude of the problem. And have clearly stated that his next target is Indian National Congress itself, and about how he feels the youth & educated should get into Politics. In short, what the critics of the Congress say are its weaknesses, are in fact, in my opinion, the strengths of the Congress.
Also, another sign of a weak BJP; about managing the allies: Within the NDA, the number of BJP allies is now down to 8 (or even less than that), from 24 some few years ago. Moreover, to put the question back, who can deny the fact that BJP's top leadership is appointed by the RSS?? (Eg: What happened to Advani after the Jinnah Controversy? How was Rajnath Singh 's'elected as BJP president? How do you think is the next BJP president going to be elected?)
Secondly, I am not contesting the fact that Congress is a family run party. That is not my point. But my point is, how does it matter to you or me, or the people of India, if it is the Gandhi family running the Congress or someone else, as long as the leadership is good? DOES it Matter? Why should we care? I think it is much more important about "WHAT they do" rather than "WHO runs the Congress". Why should I care who runs India as long as it does good, have good policies etc. But does it mean that leadership doesn’t matter? No, the leadership does matter, and I truly believe Congress party cannot and will not continue with a bad Leadership for long. It will have to self-correct itself before long. If Sonia Gandhi was not good, she would have been gone long back. Likewise, if Rahul Gandhi is not good, he will not be there on top for long. Ultimately, politics is all about power, why will the congress party members keep Rahul in the top post if that doesn't get it power? If you remember, Sitaram Kesari was the congress president and was ousted in March 1998 for the same reason. It was the then Congress leaders who convinced Sonia Gandhi to take Congress Presidentship. Also, remember, it was not the first time Sonia Gandhi was asked to take the leadership of Congress. Even in 1991, when Rajiv Gandhi was assassinated, she was asked by the Congress party to take up the role. She refused, and only then did Narasimha Rao took over as the Congress President and subsequently the PM post. So, if the party itself feels that she is the best person to be the Congress president, don't you think that is democratic? Just because she is from a Gandhi Family, doesn't mean it is an ineligibility for being in politics!
I think you have just fallen in to the media hype created by the BJP against the Congress about the Gandhi family issue (they tried to raise the issue of Sonia Gandhi's Foreign origin issue in last elections (2004) and failed miserably, this time I should say they have failed miserably about the Gandhi Family issue). If you look back, the whole issue of Mr. Manmohan Singh as a weak PM was actually an attack on the Congress party effectively saying that PM's office is remote controlled from 10, Janpath (Sonia Gandhi's Official Residence).
I should say, the majority of India have rejected the whole hype created by BJP against the dynasty rule in Congress, which many of us 'urban' people have fallen for. I think we urban people, who should be objective and logical, should reject the idea as well. I better have a PM or party president who does good & 'not really democratically elected internally', rather than have a person who is not good & 'really democratically elected internally'. I think this election was a clear victory for Congress in this aspect. eg: the victory in UP, even the BJP gives credit for Congress' UP victory to Rahul Gandhi. People of India have liked the Gandhi family earlier, and they still do. But whenever, they did gross mistakes, they have been punished as well. Indira Gandhi is a classic example for both. I have heard that Congress still gets votes from very poor rural people in the name of Indira Gandhi. People genuinely liked Indira Gandhi (Remember, she came to power 3 times consecutively from 1966 till 1977). But after the Emergency, she was ousted out of power. But again, just 3 years after that, she came right back (thus a total of fifteen years as PM) with a landslide majority of 374 seats in LS(up from 189 seats in 1977). And I think, that speaks a lot. In short, so for all the urban middle class people who still says about the dynasty politics in Congress, or questioning the very existence and history of the Congress (Like Gandhi wanting to dissolve Congress etc etc) or BJP (the Jana Sangh story), I would humbly ask them to think:
"Does it really matter?",
"Why think about their past too much, when we are concerned about the present and future?",
"Are we getting a little too obsessed about the whole dynasty issue?",
"When we invest our money in a company (Say Wipro=Azim Premji, Reliance=Mukesh/Anil Ambani, Birla, Tata, or Chrysler or many other family-run businesses globally), do we look whether it is a family run business or whether there is a democratic process in place? Isn't the priority on what return we get on our investment, how good the leadership is? What are the policies the company have etc?"
Dwelling more into this issue, I think we will have to have a debate on whether too much of a democracy is good (Like we have in BJP)! And might take us to the merits and demerits of having a Presidential System (like in the US) Vs a Parliamentary system of democracy.
Thirdly, Congress won this elections, primarily because they did some good work in the last 5 years... Let us not forget the many good things they did... The Right to Information Act, The National Rural Employment Guarantee Act (Also known as NAREGA), the reservations for OBCs in higher education, the Huge Farmer's Loan Waiver, the surprisingly huge reduction of Income Tax etc etc. I am not saying all these projects were implemented perfectly. There were lapses. But all these initiatives, were directly targeting the poor and middle class of India, and arguably so was the Indo-US atomic deal. But no one can deny that these did help the Congress during this election. Can even the critics of Congress say that Congress did not do anything for AAM AADMI (their poll slogan in 2004 and 2009). I don't think so. Thus, in Congress, we had a government which realized the ground realities of India and the people felt were sincere.
Also, I disagree with the reason you mentioned for BJP's defeat in 2004. I don't think it had much to do with Hindutva (though journalists who got all the exit polls & predictions completely wrong, had to do some face-saving post mortem and FIND some reasons to keep their credibility, did come out with a lot of such theories). Do you really think BJP would have come to power if they had stuck with their core Hindutva agenda, and built the Ayodhya Temple or implemented the uniform civil code??? Far from it, I think, they would have just lost more seats (like it happened now: eg: Varun Gandhi, Narendra Modi Issues). I believe, the BJP's defeat of 2004 was a total rejection of BJPs economic policies, its "India Shining" campaign. Basically BJP has a Right-ist ideology. While the Congress has a (and has been following for a long time) a left-o-centric ideology. That ideology of BJP was what was rejected. Poor rural Indians could not associate themselves with the "India Shining" campaign, atomic tests, the Golden Quadrilateral, the North-South, East-West corridors, FDI relaxations or divestments.; when the more than 77% of Indians who are poor still had no access to drinking water, sanitation, proper housing, healthcare, electricity etc etc. What they really wanted was those basic necessities.
Basically, BJP forgot that India is a country where most people are in rural areas, and that they are very very poor by any standards. Also, this election again showed the arrogance of BJP and its leaders. Remember, the Congress kept a low profile campaign, and never claimed "they did these these these things, and now things are great"; Instead they said "We have done these these these things, things are still bad and a lot of work needs to be done". There is a great Psychological difference in the minds of people, between these two approaches. One of the main reasons why the "India Shining" campaign failed. In contrast, BJP during this year's election campaign & even until the results were announced, thought that they will automatically get elected back to power (The statements from the BJP leaders such as Ravi Shankar Prasad, Arun Jaitley etc during all those Election Debates in the media). The statements that came out immediately after the poll defeat from BJP's fold and Congress' should be contrasted. The Congress party (which could have easily shown some pride), on the other hand, kept a low profile during and after the elections. Even after the elections, Congress just kept thanking people and not even attacking/ridiculing the BJP, while BJP was still arrogantly saying that it was not a defeat of BJP, but that of the left etc etc etc. I appreciate the fact that the Political observers and journalists did make a note of it.
In conclusion, Congress party has been realizing what/who the real India is, and has a well disciplined and structured heirarchy; And BJP is still in a dreamy/illusionary land, Not to mention the many internal, organizational issues it has!
I know, sadly, this account I have written above, has been a one sided affair against the BJP. But I think the fact of the matter when it comes to Indian Elections 2009 is, it really was!
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Notes: To quote "The state-run National Commission for Enterprises in the Unorganised Sector (NCEUS) said 77% of the population live on below Rs 20 per day, and most were from the informal labour sector with no job or social security, living in abject poverty.". In the above post, whenever I have mentioned the people of India, I meant the whole of India, including the 77% of people under utter poverty; and not just the "people" who come in our News channels these days. Something BJP missed out (and many so called "urban youth" forget), and Congress worked and concentrated on during the last 5 years.
Why I stress this more and more is, again the fact of abysmally low polling percentage in urban areas! The real India, atleast the real India who votes these governments to power, to me is the poor/middle class rural population.
I would have loved to write more (on other aspects which played a role in this elections, such as Secularism, Negative Campaigning, What exactly does BJP mean by '
Hindutva', and some interesting outlooks on why BJP has been talking too much about
bi-polarity in Indian Politics etc), but the 12000 words of assignments due next 3 days is looming before me!
And sorry once again... The long standing criticism against me, about me not being concise! I failed miserably yet again! Brevity, that’s it... Surely next time ;) ;)
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End Notes: I could state some examples I heard from a Journalist friend of mine, about how Lalu Prasad Yadav got votes in Bihar in 2004. In short, it was just about letting poor people know about the "India Shining campaign" and how untrue it was. That was all it took him to get all those votes.
Also for this elections, about the "Jai Ho" song Congress licensed from A. R. Rahman. Even though they started using it in the initial phase of the election capaign, they quickly abandoned it in the later phases fearing that it might create the same effect the "India Shining" Campaign had for the BJP.